India's earnings recovery has begun to broaden across sectors, but the market may not yet be fully pricing in the upcycle, according to Hemant Kanawala, senior executive vice president and head of equity at Kotak Life Insurance. 7 times estimated FY27 earnings, Kanawala said.

With Nifty profits expected to grow 17% to 18% in FY27 and Q1 earnings rising 18%, well above expectations, the setup offers a more favourable risk-reward equation, provided private capex revives and external risks remain contained. After a weak market cycle in the last 2 years, how are you assessing the current risk-reward equation in Indian equities, and what could be the key triggers for the market over the next 12 to 18 months?

After two weak years, much of the bad news appears priced in. Relative valuations and performance versus emerging peers are near multi-year lows, so downside looks contained while the earnings recovery isn't yet reflected.

7x FY2027E), with earnings set to compound in the mid-teens. Key triggers are a durable end to the West Asia conflict and softer crude, earnings acceleration (Nifty profits +17% to 18% in FY2027), private capex revival, and a stable external position.

The risks are a prolonged effect of conflict, weak monsoon, and rate tightening. 7% versus ~10% as expected.

Are current valuations adequately reflecting the earnings growth outlook, or do you see pockets where investor expectations have run ahead of fundamentals? The market shows sharp contrasts.

7x FY2027E, broadly its long-term average, but this masks wide dispersion. Low-P/E sectors like banks, metals and energy anchor the index, while parts of consumption and investment trade richly, with a significant part of index weight trading over 10% above historical averages.

Mid-caps and small-caps carry premiums, but this partly reflects their exposure to higher-growth themes, so selective opportunities remain attractive. Conversely, banks and IT services have de-rated meaningfully, offering value.

So, earnings are priced unevenly. The froth is concentrated, not broad-based.

What do you think of the current Q1 earnings cycle and which sectors surprised positively? Q1FY27 was a picture-perfect, broad-based quarter with an earnings upgrade, one of the strongest in recent years.

Nifty 50 PAT grew 18% year-on-year (versus ~10% expected), a 10-quarter high, while the broader universe (ex-OMCs) delivered 22% growth. 5x.